POINTS PERMUTATIONS: How can McLaren win the 2025 Constructors’ Championship in Azerbaijan?

McLaren have put together such a strong 2025 F1 campaign that the squad will get their first chance to secure the Constructors’ Championship at this weekend’s Azerbaijan Grand Prix.

With a whopping 12 victories from 16 events, seven 1-2 results and podium finishes at all bar one round, McLaren are more than 300 points clear of their nearest rivals heading into the final flyaway phase of the campaign.

Indeed, McLaren’s enviable haul of 617 points so far this year compares to Ferrari’s tally of 280, the 260 scored by Mercedes and the 239 collected by Red Bull.

So, what do McLaren need to do to put the situation to bed at the Baku City Circuit? We have listed all the key numbers and scenarios below…

How many points are still up for grabs?

Eight rounds remain in the 2025 season, including the upcoming Azerbaijan Grand Prix, meaning a maximum of 389 points can still be scored by teams across the final third.

That’s because there are five standard weekends (43 points available at each) and three Sprint weekends (58 points available at each) on the way between now and the finale.

As it stands, McLaren’s advantage over second-placed Ferrari is 337 points – showing just how much of a mathematic miracle would be required for the lead to change.

How can McLaren win the title in Azerbaijan?

In simple terms, if the gap between McLaren and Ferrari is bigger than or equal to 346 points after Sunday’s race in Azerbaijan, McLaren will be confirmed as champions.

To achieve this, McLaren need to out-score Ferrari by nine points.

McLaren can put the result beyond any doubt on the streets of Baku – regardless of what Ferrari do – by winning the race and backing it up with a second- or third-place finish.

What about Mercedes and Red Bull’s distant hopes?

Alongside Ferrari, two other teams still mathematically in contention for the Constructors’ Championship are Mercedes and Red Bull, albeit with extremely slim chances.

Mercedes find themselves 357 points behind the championship leaders, meaning they would need to out-score McLaren by 12 points this weekend to stay above the cut.

Red Bull, meanwhile, are 378 points behind, meaning they would need to out-score McLaren by 33 points.

Should any of the permutations go against McLaren, the situation will roll on to the next round of the season in Singapore.